Get your sunscreen at the ready – and get your fingers crossed! The latest weather news from the Met Office is that they’re predicting a record breaking 2019!
Weather News – Record Warmth in 2019
Last summer Britain sweltered in a scorching heat wave which hung around for quite some weeks. There were endless sunny, blue skies and in the end it got a bit, well, too hot! (Not that we say that very often!)
The Met Office global temperature forecast for 2019 suggests that it will be close to record warmth. That’s because of climate change and the added effect of El Niño-related warming in the Pacific.
The Met Office forecasts the global average temperature for 2019 to be between 0.98 °C and 1.22 °C, with a central estimate of 1.10 °C, above the pre-industrial average period from 1850–1900. Since 1850, 2016 is the warmest year on record with a central estimate of 1.15 °C above the same baseline.
Modest warming from El Niño combined with much larger effects due to rising levels of greenhouse gases are driving the 2019 temperature forecast.
Hottest years since 2000
Professor Adam Scaife, head of long-range prediction at the Met Office, said: “Our forecasts suggest that by the end of 2019, 19 of the 20 warmest years on record will have occurred since the year 2000.
“The forecast is based on the key drivers of the global climate, but it does not include unpredictable events, such as a large volcanic eruption, which would cause a temporary cooling.”
The Met Office’s forecast for the 2018 global mean temperature, issued at the end of 2017 (0.88 °C to 1.12 °C with a central estimate of 1.00 °C), agrees closely with the latest observations of global temperature so far this year. Data from Jan-Oct 2018 shows the global mean temperature is 0.96±0.12 °C above pre-industrial levels.
Dr Doug Smith, Met Office research fellow, said: “The forecast for 2019 would place next year amongst the five warmest years on record, which would all have occurred since 2015. All of these years have been around 1 °C warmer than the pre-industrial period”.
Learn About the Weather
Published 27 August 2018
It’s the number one topic of conversation for us Brits – we talk about it when it’s hot, cold, windy, raining and dry! If you are fascinated by it why don’t you learn about the weather with this short online course from the Met Office.
Watch their short video below which explains more –
This online course was piloted last September. It runs over four weeks, with a few hours of learning per week. learn about the weather basics then move onto more detailed areas like synoptic charts, air masses, fronts, wind and clouds.
In the last week, learn about the weather’s effect on what we do, by looking at its impact on leisure activities like gardening and photography.
With the help of the Royal Horticultural Society you’ll pick up advice to help in your garden. Learn how to make the most of the weather, how to garden in an environmentally friendly way and how to adapt your garden to the changing climate.
The Royal Photographic Society give advice on how the weather might impact your photography.
If you love the great outdoors you’ll find out how to get the most out of the weather forecast. And you’ll know how to keep safe in hazardous conditions when you learn about the weather.
Sign up to learn about the weather
The live course began at the start of August 2018, but you can start at any time. It’s free and you don’t need any prior knowledge.
So if you’d like to understand the weather forecasts on TV or just learn about the weather, this is for you.
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